0xffc642DDBE0a474Ed903a43b49759f4E10562DA7-1789100282315
0xffc642ddbe0a474ed903a43b49759f4e10562da7
- Realised P&L
- $-24.21
- Volume
- $477.76
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $9.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.190 | 0.135 | $3.29 | −$1.34 |
| Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.569 | $3.17 | +$2.64 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.465 | $2.33 | +$0.63 |
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.028 | $0.64 | −$1.23 |
| Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be less than 40k? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.043 | $0.23 | −$1.71 |
| Ankara: Katarina Kuzmova vs Cagla Buyukakcay · Katarina Kuzmova | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.41 |
| Genoa 2: Stefano Travaglia vs Marvin Moeller · Stefano Travaglia | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.85 |
| Plovdiv 4: Maxime Chazal vs Joel Schwaerzler · Joel Schwaerzler | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.54at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET
- +$12.68at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11PM ET
- +$11.03at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7AM ET
- +$6.03at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12AM ET
- +$4.79at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:26 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.31 |
| 09-22 20:26 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.0950467112 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:00 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? | BUY | 0.096 | $0.54 |
| 09-22 20:00 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be less than 40k? | BUY | 0.354 | $1.95 |
| 09-22 19:58 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 19:47 | Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.64 |
| 09-22 19:34 | Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.87 |
| 09-22 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $5.71 |
| 09-22 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $6.65 |
| 09-22 15:59 | Ankara: Katarina Kuzmova vs Cagla Buyukakcay | BUY | 0.537 | $7.66 |
| 09-22 13:36 | Singapore Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Anna-Lena Friedsam | SELL | 0.99 | $11.65 |
| 09-22 13:11 | Plovdiv 4: Maxime Chazal vs Joel Schwaerzler | BUY | 0.71 | $6.96 |
| 09-22 13:11 | Plovdiv 4: Maxime Chazal vs Joel Schwaerzler | SELL | 0.29 | $3.80 |
| 09-22 13:00 | Plovdiv 4: Maxime Chazal vs Joel Schwaerzler | BUY | 0.62 | $8.13 |
| 09-22 12:53 | Genoa 2: Stefano Travaglia vs Marvin Moeller | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |