dfgh123
0xffc5c213e7601c820f1c582d42b2d06e0bfb67a5
- Realised P&L
- $598.16
- Volume
- $196.8k
- Markets traded
- 611
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded611
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.327U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$333.91at 0.498Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?
- +$310.45at 0.633China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$284.76at 0.237Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
- +$228.19at 0.278Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times at Defense and Innovation Summit?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 21:45 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $80.82 |
| 09-25 20:56 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $40.15 |
| 09-25 20:06 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $129.50 |
| 09-25 19:17 | Montenegro leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-25 15:55 | Armenia vs. Latvia: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-25 02:55 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $58.25 |
| 09-25 02:39 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $55.06 |
| 09-25 02:11 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2098798077 | $87.31 |
| 09-23 20:22 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $47.20 |
| 09-23 05:28 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $31.22 |
| 09-23 05:21 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $74.52 |
| 09-23 00:37 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $142.83 |
| 09-17 04:23 | M25 Guiyang: Sasikumar Mukund vs Sheng Tang | SELL | 0.69 | $102.81 |
| 09-17 04:12 | M25 Guiyang: Sasikumar Mukund vs Sheng Tang | BUY | 0.35 | $52.15 |
| 09-17 00:01 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |