0xfFc0d1e21665B989fA6B22b9c708f90A5B88f1Ad-1774575503505
0xffc0d1e21665b989fa6b22b9c708f90a5b88f1ad
- Realised P&L
- $-18.72
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 997
- Open portfolio
- $12.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded997
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.733 | 0.600 | $7.34 | −$1.62 |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.963 | 1.000 | $2.94 | +$0.11 |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.735 | 0.475 | $1.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.915 | 0.952 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.28at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$34.90at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$32.30at 0.533XRP Up or Down - March 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$28.57at 0.467Solana Up or Down - March 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$24.42at 0.526Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 10:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5919998248 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 14:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 17:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.05 |
| 09-02 06:15 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 16:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7229998511 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 19:29 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.44 |
| 08-26 18:22 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.01 |
| 08-26 17:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.12 |
| 08-26 17:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.01 |
| 08-26 17:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.01 |
| 08-26 15:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.17 |
| 08-26 13:49 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.04 |
| 08-26 13:44 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.00 |
| 08-26 13:32 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.05 |
| 08-26 12:41 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.03 |