0xffbd508fed140bf2bc2fc8b28f19646d26ab09ae
0xffbd508fed140bf2bc2fc8b28f19646d26ab09ae
- Realised P&L
- $4.54
- Volume
- $0.00
- Markets traded
- 0
- Open portfolio
- $6.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded0
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Vegan" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No | 0.790 | 0.845 | $1.78 | +$0.12 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.615 | $1.51 | −$0.31 |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) Q3 quarterly total net inflows be above $225B? · No | 0.770 | 0.800 | $1.12 | +$0.04 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.725 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.270 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.500Will Trump say "Pledge" or "Pledged" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$0.93at 0.708Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$0.89at 0.689Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$0.88at 0.610Will Delta Air Lines say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?
- +$0.84at 0.728Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?