0xffb95a76d29404d7d6d6529b5ebc58f748c35d21
- Realised P&L
- $-4.99
- Volume
- $64.75
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.660 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.430 | $0.95 | −$0.15 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.265 | $0.63 | −$0.47 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.690 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.77at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$1.56at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.38at 0.450Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.12at 0.500Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.95at 0.540SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:14 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6499998818 | $1.10 |
| 09-14 05:06 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.10 |
| 09-13 21:06 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599998745 | $1.10 |
| 09-09 15:02 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2699999386 | $1.10 |
| 09-09 06:44 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.10 |
| 09-08 07:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3099999211 | $1.10 |
| 09-07 16:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.10 |
| 09-03 02:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 3? | BUY | 0.5299999518 | $1.10 |
| 09-02 17:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.10 |
| 09-02 09:03 | Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.4799999127 | $1.10 |
| 09-02 00:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999822 | $1.10 |
| 09-01 09:56 | Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.7089996062 | $1.10 |
| 08-29 00:46 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998269 | $1.10 |
| 08-27 16:44 | Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.7099999806 | $1.10 |
| 08-27 08:42 | Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.5599999796 | $1.10 |