0xffb6Fc1e71010961A174Ca5f7CF9732C14aEF44a-1775652284261
0xffb6fc1e71010961a174ca5f7cf9732c14aef44a
- Realised P&L
- $-45.58
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $2.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)49.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.38at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?
- +$18.60at 0.379Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?
- +$17.21at 0.422Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?
- +$15.95at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?
- +$15.59at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-18 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 07-21 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 07-21 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 07-21 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 07-20 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 07-20 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 06-24 11:46 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 06-06 17:54 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.054 | $1.08 |
| 06-06 17:23 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.10 |
| 06-06 17:23 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.30 |
| 06-01 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 06-01 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.95 | $18.99 |
| 05-31 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31? | SELL | 0.7870588235 | $13.38 |
| 05-31 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.48 |