ChalkGoblin
0xffaf85cff17904b7116d0ef1dcca0a3e5a08b675
- Realised P&L
- $-893.83
- Volume
- $684.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,699
- Open portfolio
- $20.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,699
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$427.79at 0.895Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title?
- +$332.31at 0.080Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$242.70at 0.415Will the Boston Bruins make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?
- +$185.11at 0.971Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
- +$177.71at 0.750Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:49 | Will Mark Scheifele record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.925 | $247.90 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Will Jesper Bratt record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.27 |
| 11-01 16:55 | Will Dylan Larkin record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.978 | $201.88 |
| 11-01 16:55 | Will Bryan Rust record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.976 | $117.22 |
| 11-01 16:53 | Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.78 | $117.78 |
| 11-01 16:52 | Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.777 | $19.43 |
| 11-01 16:46 | Will Brock Nelson record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.962 | $154.88 |
| 11-01 16:13 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.83 |
| 11-01 15:55 | Will Kerry Carpenter win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | BUY | 0.991 | $12.80 |
| 11-01 15:52 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.20 |
| 11-01 15:51 | Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 11-01 15:51 | Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 11-01 07:44 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.966 | $94.41 |
| 11-01 06:46 | Will Matvei Michkov record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.974 | $20.45 |
| 11-01 06:46 | Will Matvei Michkov record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.973 | $5.18 |