PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChalkGoblin

0xffaf85cff17904b7116d0ef1dcca0a3e5a08b675

Realised P&L
$-893.83
Volume
$684.0k
Markets traded
1,699
Open portfolio
$20.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,699
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:49Will Mark Scheifele record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?BUY0.925$247.90
11-01 17:04Will Jesper Bratt record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?BUY0.95$20.27
11-01 16:55Will Dylan Larkin record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?BUY0.978$201.88
11-01 16:55Will Bryan Rust record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?BUY0.976$117.22
11-01 16:53Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?BUY0.78$117.78
11-01 16:52Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?BUY0.777$19.43
11-01 16:46Will Brock Nelson record 100+ points?BUY0.962$154.88
11-01 16:13Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?BUY0.99$30.83
11-01 15:55Will Kerry Carpenter win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?BUY0.991$12.80
11-01 15:52Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?BUY0.99$39.20
11-01 15:51Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?BUY0.989$29.67
11-01 15:51Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?BUY0.989$29.67
11-01 07:44Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?BUY0.966$94.41
11-01 06:46Will Matvei Michkov record 100+ points?BUY0.974$20.45
11-01 06:46Will Matvei Michkov record 100+ points?BUY0.973$5.18