PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ChalkGoblin

0xffaf85cff17904b7116d0ef1dcca0a3e5a08b675

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$512.9k
Markets traded
1,329
Open portfolio
$15.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,329
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shea Langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9830.985$1.0k+$1.70
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? · No0.7900.915$538.02+$73.50
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · No0.9370.989$497.47+$26.03
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.8800.988$494.00+$54.00
Will Brandon Lowe hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9530.983$454.83+$13.83
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? · Yes0.7660.850$426.95+$41.94
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? · No0.8150.992$421.20+$75.28
Will Dillon Dingler hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9510.989$411.60+$15.58
Will Jordan Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9500.993$383.11+$16.41
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9210.993$307.83+$22.32
Will Juan Soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9570.991$301.55+$10.06
Will Miguel Vargas hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9530.992$289.13+$11.38
Will Aaron Judge hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9530.966$278.67+$3.56
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Yes0.8050.595$278.10$98.02
Will CJ Abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9530.980$277.18+$7.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:57Will Mason Miller's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$49.50
08-03 03:55Will Josh Hader's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$49.50
08-03 03:55Will Francisco Lindor's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$49.50
08-03 03:55Will Francisco Lindor's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$59.40
08-03 03:54Will Francisco Lindor's next team be San Francisco Giants?BUY0.99$49.50
08-03 03:54Will Francisco Lindor's next team be San Francisco Giants?BUY0.99$59.40
08-03 03:53Will Luis Arraez's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$49.50
08-03 03:53Will Luis Arraez's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$59.40
08-03 03:52Will CJ Abrams's next team be Athletics?BUY0.99$49.50
08-03 03:52Will CJ Abrams's next team be Athletics?BUY0.99$59.40
08-03 03:52Will CJ Abrams's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$49.50
08-03 03:51Will CJ Abrams's next team be San Francisco Giants?BUY0.99$49.50
08-03 03:51Will CJ Abrams's next team be San Francisco Giants?BUY0.99$59.40
08-03 01:22Will CJ Abrams's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$59.40
08-03 01:07Will Josh Hader's next team be Miami Marlins?BUY0.99$59.40