funnygamess
0xffa9ffdf310d82a73cf08fb16eb0228b6845db6c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $355.9k
- Markets traded
- 702
- Open portfolio
- $57.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded702
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$830.89at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
- +$710.21at 0.101Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 17-23?
- +$312.72at 0.585WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 21?
- +$246.40at 0.371Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?
- +$219.37at 0.560WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 08:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.7782877638 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 11:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.6099999934 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 17:29 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 2? | BUY | 0.5999999983 | $70.00 |
| 10-02 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BUY | 0.8005007228 | $75.00 |
| 09-30 22:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.5699999968 | $30.16 |
| 09-22 10:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.4899999948 | $39.76 |
| 09-17 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.3 | $75.00 |
| 09-16 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $75.00 |
| 09-14 15:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.4930362086 | $75.00 |
| 09-14 13:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $75.00 |
| 09-14 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.140124 | $140.12 |
| 09-13 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5577700327 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.46 | $61.63 |
| 09-13 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.4799999988 | $64.31 |
| 09-11 20:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 11? | BUY | 0.6299999971 | $75.00 |