funnygamess
0xffa9ffdf310d82a73cf08fb16eb0228b6845db6c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $146.4k
- Markets traded
- 409
- Open portfolio
- $460.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded409
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.74at 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?
- +$215.74at 0.526Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?
- +$200.10at 0.520Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?
- +$141.95at 0.276Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 14?
- +$129.81at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.14 | $78.40 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7091018032 | $450.00 |
| 08-04 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.6016879968 | $196.05 |
| 08-04 01:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 01:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4299999983 | $70.00 |
| 08-04 00:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.72 |
| 08-04 00:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 08-04 00:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4599999974 | $75.00 |
| 08-03 22:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.56 | $225.81 |
| 08-03 22:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $250.00 |
| 08-03 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.4814285714 | $337.00 |
| 08-03 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $37.51 |
| 08-03 21:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.52 | $364.00 |
| 08-03 21:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.2151261367 | $29.33 |
| 08-03 21:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999982 | $75.00 |