0xffa870fD8FaF5c1F8ABbe08604717d5389A4BCA1-1772457873594
0xffa870fd8faf5c1f8abbe08604717d5389a4bca1
- Realised P&L
- $-81.17
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $245.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.022 | $245.20 | −$88.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.75at 0.631Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$7.12at 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$5.28at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$4.11at 0.900US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
- +$1.67at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 18:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $0.97 |
| 04-09 14:18 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0324868741 | $62.04 |
| 04-09 14:17 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $62.04 |
| 04-05 19:58 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0207630235 | $62.04 |
| 04-05 19:57 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $62.04 |
| 03-12 08:09 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7097354162 | $125.81 |
| 03-12 08:01 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | SELL | 0.974 | $54.11 |
| 03-06 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | SELL | 0.991 | $1.87 |
| 03-06 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $0.97 |
| 03-06 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | SELL | 0.9910000945 | $10.11 |
| 03-06 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 03-06 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | SELL | 0.991 | $11.48 |
| 03-06 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $9.93 |
| 03-06 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | SELL | 0.9909999987 | $13.28 |
| 03-06 13:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7391130463 | $9.81 |