PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xffa870fD8FaF5c1F8ABbe08604717d5389A4BCA1-1772457873594

0xffa870fd8faf5c1f8abbe08604717d5389a4bca1

Realised P&L
$-81.17
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$245.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0310.022$245.20$88.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 18:58Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.8199999836$0.97
04-09 14:18Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0324868741$62.04
04-09 14:17US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.7$62.04
04-05 19:58Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0207630235$62.04
04-05 19:57US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.7$62.04
03-12 08:09US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.7097354162$125.81
03-12 08:01US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL0.974$54.11
03-06 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETSELL0.991$1.87
03-06 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.52$0.97
03-06 13:50Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSELL0.9910000945$10.11
03-06 13:49Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.98$10.00
03-06 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSELL0.991$11.48
03-06 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.86$9.93
03-06 13:40Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSELL0.9909999987$13.28
03-06 13:39Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.7391130463$9.81