Delta-Flow-82
0xff9d6b0e15fe96bede08c91af15dbafe12b2362d
- Realised P&L
- $-37.93
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $485.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.00at 0.730US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$29.00at 0.710US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$21.00at 0.670US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$19.00at 0.810Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$14.49at 0.855Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 02:00 | Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 10-11 01:40 | Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 10-11 01:37 | Will “Somewhere Over Laredo” by Lainey Wilson win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 10-11 01:26 | Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-11 01:15 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.10 |
| 10-11 01:12 | Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 05-12 03:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 05-12 03:37 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $68.00 |
| 04-25 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 26? | BUY | 0.87 | $16.51 |
| 04-25 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26? | BUY | 0.92 | $75.23 |
| 04-25 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25? | BUY | 0.83 | $34.10 |
| 04-25 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 26? | BUY | 0.92 | $22.64 |
| 04-25 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26? | BUY | 0.77 | $37.61 |
| 04-25 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 26? | BUY | 0.932 | $40.08 |
| 04-25 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25? | BUY | 0.887 | $48.23 |