PolyBot

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Traders

0xff8e5b36f7164e2659a1aeebc04c9cf94dd074a7

Realised P&L
$6.22
Volume
$112.75
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$29.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · No0.3200.910$7.08+$4.59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7? · Yes0.2700.580$5.35+$2.86
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.2500.505$5.03+$2.54
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.905$2.89+$0.40
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.2100.210$2.49+$0.00
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.7500.725$2.41$0.08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · Yes0.7000.395$1.41$1.08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2400.105$1.09$1.40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3300.125$0.94$1.55
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7700.175$0.57$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 11:18WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7?BUY0.2699999273$2.49
08-07 03:03Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2099999486$2.49
08-06 19:00US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.75$2.49
08-06 10:58S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.6499999478$2.49
08-05 13:42US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.7$2.49
08-05 05:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.25$2.49
08-04 21:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.4899999626$2.49
08-04 13:31Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4299999516$2.49
08-04 05:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.24$2.49
08-03 21:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3299999351$2.49
08-03 13:29Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.32$2.49
08-03 05:28Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4499999277$2.49
08-02 21:05Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7799999624$2.49
08-02 01:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7699999845$2.49
08-01 16:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.75$2.49