monbrush
0xff86e19feb697274ef2b339cdd8aefd1362ff7b7
- Realised P&L
- $0.02
- Volume
- $42.53
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State · Western Kentucky | 0.450 | 0.455 | $1.97 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.75at 0.420Nuggets vs. Lakers
- +$1.37at 0.550Warriors vs. Mavericks
- +$0.92at 0.647Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
- +$0.91at 0.637Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$0.42at 0.770Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 18:55 | Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State | BUY | 0.4499999308 | $1.95 |
| 07-05 14:56 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999593 | $1.09 |
| 07-02 13:05 | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m? | BUY | 0.8191106695 | $1.75 |
| 06-26 09:26 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.66 |
| 05-09 17:21 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999727 | $1.41 |
| 05-06 11:56 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3529999127 | $1.71 |
| 04-16 15:18 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.3743067697 | $2.70 |
| 04-03 09:28 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.3399999435 | $2.65 |
| 03-23 14:11 | Warriors vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.5499999345 | $1.68 |
| 03-21 12:11 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.6366575479 | $1.60 |
| 03-14 14:58 | Nuggets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.4199998987 | $1.99 |