0xfF7D67C9e92344DECEbd2B4D2c64441f1f1cd9de-1769264599435
0xff7d67c9e92344decebd2b4d2c64441f1f1cd9de
- Realised P&L
- $438.37
- Volume
- $82.7k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $18.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.033 | $18.86 | −$61.14 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.226Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
- +$358.47at 0.190Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- +$203.34at 0.300US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.270Another US bank failure by March 31?
- +$-8.31at 0.003US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 16:40 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.8710962361 | $458.47 |
| 04-24 16:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.8172032683 | $3.3k |
| 02-22 10:55 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $20.00 |
| 02-21 02:35 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $8.00 |
| 02-20 15:48 | US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $300.00 |
| 02-20 09:03 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $243.33 |
| 02-19 21:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 02-19 21:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 02-19 08:56 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999995 | $400.00 |
| 02-19 08:53 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $299.69 |
| 02-19 00:50 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $200.00 |
| 02-19 00:49 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0600630601 | $300.00 |
| 02-01 23:14 | Another US bank failure by March 31? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 21:50 | Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999986 | $80.00 |
| 01-28 18:51 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |