0xff77e4e9eecb887b687ddd0bfee053c6df131be5
- Realised P&L
- $-985.88
- Volume
- $90.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,585
- Open portfolio
- $33.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,585
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.675 | 0.730 | $11.70 | +$0.87 |
| Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.795 | $5.76 | +$0.76 |
| Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-06? · No | 0.650 | 0.660 | $4.75 | +$0.07 |
| Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.505 | $4.32 | −$0.13 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.900 | $3.66 | +$0.12 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.847 | 0.902 | $3.24 | +$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.67at 0.270Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry
- +$110.00at 0.034Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$108.00at 0.100Hawks vs. Knicks
- +$95.11at 0.371Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fomin
- +$86.00at 0.14076ers vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:05 | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | SELL | 0.69 | $8.85 |
| 08-03 14:39 | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 12:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.79 | $10.82 |
| 08-03 06:24 | Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5199999626 | $4.45 |
| 08-03 02:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.669999975 | $4.83 |
| 08-03 02:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7899999722 | $4.83 |
| 08-02 22:02 | CSD Macara vs. Guayaquil City FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.2571861165 | $4.57 |
| 08-02 21:43 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.91 |
| 08-02 21:23 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3499999586 | $4.65 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:55 | Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | SELL | 0.81 | $12.15 |
| 08-02 16:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7899999144 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 15:28 | Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:24 | Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:21 | Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.40 |