vAwK8p0Ju9
0xff744e88501636a5562e56f0726c8fc649ef5de4
- Realised P&L
- $101.37
- Volume
- $218.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,625
- Open portfolio
- $6.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,625
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$335.26at 0.444Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?
- +$323.81at 0.134Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?
- +$318.46at 0.210Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?
- +$280.81at 0.136Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?
- +$234.14at 0.341Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.39 |
| 09-22 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.06155055 | $1.17 |
| 09-22 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.51 |
| 09-22 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.35 |
| 09-22 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.2146685341 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.10 |
| 09-22 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0568847352 | $0.91 |
| 09-22 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.71 |
| 09-22 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0485656913 | $1.69 |
| 09-22 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 09-22 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 09-22 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.28 | $6.74 |
| 09-22 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.74 |
| 09-22 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.67 |
| 09-22 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.81 |