EmperorPalpatine
0xff70bc966f7831493e5c1dfd9c80e01443d6acd2
- Realised P&L
- $-379.75
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $47.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.975 | $47.63 | +$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.45at 0.805Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
- +$35.54at 0.775Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- +$33.28at 0.864Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
- +$30.67at 0.764Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$22.52at 0.831Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9715615471 | $42.60 |
| 09-28 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-28 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $46.70 |
| 09-27 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $44.98 |
| 09-27 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.72 |
| 09-27 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9899999881 | $45.00 |
| 09-27 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.90 |
| 09-27 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $18.98 |
| 09-27 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.19 |
| 09-27 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.998 | $37.50 |
| 09-27 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.80 |
| 09-27 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $35.00 |
| 09-27 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $0.35 |
| 09-27 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $43.58 |
| 09-27 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.78 |