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Traders

julia0809

0xff6cbfb663a7109cf07cf5d04fac4a3e949b8ee8

Realised P&L
$-140.05
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
508
Open portfolio
$21.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded508
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 18? · No0.9991.000$14.99+$0.01
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.8300.770$2.78$0.22
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.135$0.90$1.10
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5700.210$0.74$1.26
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.125$0.73$3.77
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · Yes0.2200.105$0.48$0.52
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.225$0.35$0.65
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0900.023$0.26$0.74
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1600.029$0.18$0.82
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.3940.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? · No0.9900.000$0.00$14.85
Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$6.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:46Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 18?BUY0.999$14.98
09-16 17:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17?BUY0.998$19.96
09-15 17:33Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,900 on September 16?BUY0.997$24.93
09-14 18:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 15?BUY0.999$20.98
09-13 18:52Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 14?BUY0.999$14.98
09-13 14:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?BUY0.999$25.97
09-11 17:24Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 12?BUY0.999$27.97
09-09 17:44Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 10?BUY0.999$17.98
09-08 18:52Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 9?BUY0.997$18.94
09-07 16:51Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 8?BUY0.999$21.98
09-07 10:30Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 7?BUY0.999$17.98
09-02 18:48Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 3?BUY0.998$23.94
09-02 06:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?BUY0.999$14.98
08-31 18:48Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 1?BUY0.999$26.97
08-30 08:31Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on August 30?BUY0.999$20.98
Trader julia0809 · PolyBot Pro