0xfF6505d7bc8C83A46CaB4e6DD3653615C1E9e979-1771867121312
0xff6505d7bc8c83a46cab4e6dd3653615c1e9e979
- Realised P&L
- $-128.80
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $69.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.35at 0.100Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$20.82at 0.004Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$20.54at 0.005Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$15.10at 0.012Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$11.83at 0.008Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 19:31 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.1389725241 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 19:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1799999983 | $80.00 |
| 04-27 08:31 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999939 | $3.00 |
| 04-08 12:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $0.86 |
| 04-08 05:13 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 05:12 | Will Germany strike Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.88 |
| 04-07 20:56 | Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30? | SELL | 0.0348235888 | $4.14 |
| 04-07 13:28 | Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30? | BUY | 0.0420625931 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 13:26 | Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0390908721 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 13:26 | Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0323415265 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 13:26 | Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.051000003 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 13:26 | Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 13:26 | Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 13:26 | Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0375342256 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 13:26 | Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |