Speedy-Embarrassment-Stirfry
0xff649127968be4b2da6ff914a169da1e6ee69225
- Realised P&L
- $-5.62
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $15.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.954 | $15.68 | +$5.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.91at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$7.10at 0.353Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?
- +$3.89at 0.270US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$2.27at 0.414Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?
- +$1.56at 0.724Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 20:40 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29? | SELL | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 10-29 17:23 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 10-24 09:39 | Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | SELL | 0.0837949791 | $4.01 |
| 10-17 16:42 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.47 |
| 10-16 11:57 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 20:38 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.0205228542 | $2.42 |
| 10-03 16:52 | Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | BUY | 0.5899999988 | $9.70 |
| 10-03 16:47 | Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | BUY | 0.354770479 | $16.96 |
| 09-07 09:12 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0269999916 | $3.19 |
| 09-06 10:18 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.241 | $3.96 |
| 08-21 17:10 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2249640893 | $3.70 |
| 08-21 17:07 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 11:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $13.88 |
| 08-11 21:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999905 | $12.19 |
| 07-06 10:39 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.95 |