PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfF636eeBCFC9B9313fb56798ac03E0CFF56cB322-1757774406655

0xff636eebcfc9b9313fb56798ac03e0cff56cb322

Realised P&L
$-228.48
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$64.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? · Up0.4800.640$64.00+$16.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14? · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$45.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$11.80
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$6.81
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$19.89
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$6.00
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Top Esports0.3000.000$0.00−$4.50
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4? · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$12.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1? · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$20.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10? · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$13.21
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$3.10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$35.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15? · Down0.3900.000$0.00−$3.90
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$11.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$3.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 15:48S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?SELL0.03$3.00
08-24 14:37S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?SELL0.18$17.98
08-18 14:09S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 18?SELL0.1$1.93
07-19 10:58LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.22$2.20
07-15 13:49Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.227$6.81
07-06 14:08Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.39$19.89
07-01 12:06Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.23$4.60
06-30 16:07Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.64$22.40
06-16 17:02Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?BUY0.13$13.00
06-16 17:00Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal?BUY0.039$3.90
06-16 17:00Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?BUY0.06$6.00
06-13 15:22Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.59$11.80
06-13 11:10S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?BUY0.39$3.90
06-11 15:10Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.31$3.10
05-27 20:00SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?SELL0.9$18.00