0xfF636eeBCFC9B9313fb56798ac03E0CFF56cB322-1757774406655
0xff636eebcfc9b9313fb56798ac03e0cff56cb322
- Realised P&L
- $-228.48
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $64.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.00at 0.415S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?
- +$55.00at 0.450S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?
- +$25.94at 0.658Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$25.06at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25?
- +$19.50at 0.350SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 15:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-24 14:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24? | SELL | 0.18 | $17.98 |
| 08-18 14:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 18? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.93 |
| 07-19 10:58 | LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 07-15 13:49 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.227 | $6.81 |
| 07-06 14:08 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.89 |
| 07-01 12:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 06-30 16:07 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $22.40 |
| 06-16 17:02 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 06-16 17:00 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.90 |
| 06-16 17:00 | Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 06-13 15:22 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 06-13 11:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 06-11 15:10 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 05-27 20:00 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |