0xFF6265f8a6dcCb9aC80ab699d0AF73F75A2519cb-1720121297540
0xff6265f8a6dccb9ac80ab699d0af73f75a2519cb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $145.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $4.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.81at 0.540US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$145.91at 0.255Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$46.25at 0.757Trump wins every swing state?
- +$23.95at 0.895Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
- +$4.41at 0.165Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 17:23 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $18.80 |
| 07-12 00:07 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2799999994 | $240.20 |
| 03-07 04:38 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.1099999994 | $138.79 |
| 03-07 04:34 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.1604970228 | $52.35 |
| 03-07 04:34 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.0213591696 | $32.04 |
| 03-07 04:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.18 | $54.41 |
| 03-07 04:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.3297919128 | $196.14 |
| 01-20 16:33 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2552232381 | $50.00 |
| 01-16 22:13 | Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.0286772425 | $22.97 |
| 01-16 22:12 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.0860015572 | $95.55 |
| 01-14 21:37 | Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1926677665 | $2.90 |
| 01-14 18:00 | Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3533382771 | $60.00 |
| 01-14 18:00 | Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3 | $26.85 |
| 01-14 17:58 | Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.28 | $20.20 |
| 01-14 17:57 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $110.00 |