ddoonn
0xff5f1263eb5e2a5f623df7fd2acc0a762f74ef2c
- Realised P&L
- $-115.80
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $16.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $9.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? · Yes | 0.478 | 0.190 | $7.15 | −$10.85 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.78at 0.180Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$33.83at 0.470Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
- +$29.80at 0.250Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$17.74at 0.530Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$5.32at 0.790Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 07:00 | Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.4785881649 | $18.00 |
| 06-08 06:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999945 | $24.00 |
| 05-12 07:37 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 02:04 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.012 | $15.00 |
| 05-08 14:54 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.0899999983 | $47.17 |
| 05-08 10:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999934 | $30.00 |
| 05-08 10:21 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $19.00 |
| 05-07 08:06 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.0899999966 | $22.90 |
| 05-06 01:12 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 05-01 17:45 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.25 | $60.00 |
| 05-01 17:27 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $61.00 |
| 04-30 04:58 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 04-30 03:23 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $39.80 |
| 04-22 08:26 | Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April? | BUY | 0.2985516659 | $15.00 |
| 04-22 08:25 | Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April? | BUY | 0.483941044 | $10.00 |