PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ddoonn

0xff5f1263eb5e2a5f623df7fd2acc0a762f74ef2c

Realised P&L
$-115.80
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$16.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$9.50−$1.50
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.4780.190$7.15−$10.85
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$24.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$19.00
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.0520.000$0.00−$160.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 07:00Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.4785881649$18.00
06-08 06:54Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1619999945$24.00
05-12 07:37Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.007$5.00
05-11 02:04Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.012$15.00
05-08 14:54Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.0899999983$47.17
05-08 10:22Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?BUY0.4699999934$30.00
05-08 10:21Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$19.00
05-07 08:06Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.0899999966$22.90
05-06 01:12Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
05-01 17:45Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.25$60.00
05-01 17:27Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.14$61.00
04-30 04:58Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
04-30 03:23Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?SELL0.995$39.80
04-22 08:26Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?BUY0.2985516659$15.00
04-22 08:25Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?BUY0.483941044$10.00