0eff
0xff5b8a51db3dd78af9b8c9f0d918fa073cfd2958
- Realised P&L
- $329.78
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $103.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? · No | 0.994 | 0.977 | $103.17 | −$1.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$626.00at 0.018Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET
- +$120.75at 0.024Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$28.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11PM ET
- +$1.11at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 06:05 | Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9937883701 | $105.00 |
| 05-13 06:04 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $109.63 |
| 02-19 14:19 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.966999994 | $108.41 |
| 02-18 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 02-18 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-18 14:33 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on February 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 02-18 14:33 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 02-18 14:33 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 02-18 14:33 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 18? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 02-18 14:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-18 14:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-18 14:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-18 14:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-17 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on February 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-17 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on February 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |