PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xff58d7bc2faceb949bb604918fc713bed767236b

Realised P&L
$0.16
Volume
$330.00
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$94.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.5000.971$48.55+$23.55
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9530.941$9.40$0.12
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9780.981$8.82+$0.02
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8520.872$7.85+$0.18
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · No0.7990.909$7.27+$0.88
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8450.872$6.98+$0.22
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.5000.835$2.50+$1.00
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$1.95$2.85
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.5000.029$0.78$12.72
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2100.095$0.76$0.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 08:11Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.852$7.67
06-30 14:48Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.845$6.76
06-17 20:16China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.962$4.81
06-07 04:13Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$3.75
04-23 13:23Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.891$4.46
04-23 13:23China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.943$4.71
04-23 13:23Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.929$6.50
04-23 13:23Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.799$6.39
04-21 13:21Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.254$2.54
04-17 20:11Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.8$4.00
04-17 20:11Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.21$1.68
04-15 15:56Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.978$13.69
04-09 15:36Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$4.80
03-25 03:01Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$7.60
03-16 17:38Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.214$3.42