Maya6619
0xff562f5160f8ed167271801f9e953d9b461dd596
- Realised P&L
- $-0.24
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $18.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.999 | $18.98 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.989Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 23?
- +$0.08at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11?
- +$0.07at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 18?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 30?
- +$0.05at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 04:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.91 |
| 07-03 02:55 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-23 07:47 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.64 |
| 05-19 08:24 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.48 |
| 05-13 04:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.80 |
| 04-24 10:19 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 04-23 07:01 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.20 |
| 04-22 07:54 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-21 06:57 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-20 04:10 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |