PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Maya6619

0xff562f5160f8ed167271801f9e953d9b461dd596

Realised P&L
$-0.24
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$18.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? · Yes0.9950.999$18.98+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 04:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?BUY0.995$18.91
07-03 02:55Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.96
06-23 07:47Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.64
05-19 08:24Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.006$9.48
05-13 04:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$9.80
04-24 10:19Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.72
04-23 07:01Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.01$10.20
04-22 07:54Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.99
04-21 06:57Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.009$9.99
04-20 04:10Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.08