PolyBot

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Traders

htksd

0xff50aa95fd1b86560f5c8b07bf741257d0f869d0

Realised P&L
$-154.83
Volume
$18.5k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$171.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B? · Yes0.6101.000$60.00+$23.40
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B? · Yes0.7301.000$40.00+$10.80
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.7200.560$33.59$9.60
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6200.520$15.60$3.00
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.315$12.60$14.20
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.3700.480$9.60+$2.20
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B? · No0.0810.000$0.00$1.62
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.6500.000$0.00$32.50
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? · No0.9220.000$0.00$46.10
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B? · No0.1240.000$0.00$2.48
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B? · No0.1700.000$0.00$6.80
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? · Yes0.5580.000$0.00$31.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.5260.000$0.00$22.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.7480.000$0.00$5.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$37.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 12:53Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.7480401345$5.00
04-14 10:36Ducks vs. WildSELL0.46$2.0k
03-08 12:45Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.997$99.70
03-08 12:43KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?BUY0.964$43.38
03-02 06:53US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.62$27.90
02-03 12:26Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.93$37.20
01-19 18:06Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.62$31.00
01-14 17:36Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.69$21.78
01-14 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.5$21.31
01-10 09:17Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?BUY0.94$68.62
01-10 09:16Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?BUY0.5584087719$31.83
01-10 09:14No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.972$97.20