htksd
0xff50aa95fd1b86560f5c8b07bf741257d0f869d0
- Realised P&L
- $-154.83
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $171.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.90at 0.186Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$21.60at 0.730US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$20.51at 0.560Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$19.00at 0.620Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$8.00at 0.920Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 12:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7480401345 | $5.00 |
| 04-14 10:36 | Ducks vs. Wild | SELL | 0.46 | $2.0k |
| 03-08 12:45 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 03-08 12:43 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? | BUY | 0.964 | $43.38 |
| 03-02 06:53 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.62 | $27.90 |
| 02-03 12:26 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 01-19 18:06 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 01-14 17:36 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.69 | $21.78 |
| 01-14 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $21.31 |
| 01-10 09:17 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? | BUY | 0.94 | $68.62 |
| 01-10 09:16 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5584087719 | $31.83 |
| 01-10 09:14 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.972 | $97.20 |