taozi1
0xff4a61d1f6d2689160e252d053eb165951aae1ba
- Realised P&L
- $224.08
- Volume
- $26.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $2.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.011 | $2.73 | −$17.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.66at 0.540Knicks vs. Kings
- +$72.20at 0.780Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
- +$51.58at 0.520Canucks vs. Utah
- +$34.30at 0.840Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.43at 0.985Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 08:43 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.079 | $20.54 |
| 04-15 04:01 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.851 | $67.23 |
| 04-15 03:28 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.856 | $59.06 |
| 04-15 03:25 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.856 | $4.7k |
| 04-14 03:27 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.858 | $4.9k |
| 01-19 02:52 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.9k |
| 01-15 07:40 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.9k |
| 01-15 06:15 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31? | SELL | 0.8000555556 | $2.9k |
| 01-14 02:59 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.8k |
| 10-17 01:53 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9849999998 | $28.00 |
| 03-10 04:29 | Knicks vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $112.30 |
| 03-10 03:37 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference? | SELL | 0.997 | $113.10 |
| 03-10 03:37 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference? | BUY | 0.998 | $113.22 |
| 03-10 03:36 | Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $113.23 |
| 03-10 03:36 | Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $113.35 |