rustit
0xff487570e46bf171bb7cdf4425fe46d678f8c957
- Realised P&L
- $-16.56
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $11.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.570 | $5.38 | +$1.13 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.206 | $1.56 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.53at 0.940Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.997Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 11 be between 80 and 90?
- +$0.19at 0.963Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
- +$0.15at 0.969Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on March 28?
- +$0.13at 0.977Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:58 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 20:38 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2609998497 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:24 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2679998242 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 20:09 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 05-09 18:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 05-03 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 13:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9629999994 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 12:21 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4499999629 | $4.25 |
| 04-27 12:05 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 03-28 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 29? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $5.49 |
| 03-28 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28? | BUY | 0.859999984 | $5.37 |
| 03-28 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 28? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.58 |
| 03-28 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.58 |
| 03-28 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 28? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $5.48 |
| 03-28 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 28? | BUY | 0.9909999 | $5.67 |