PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rustit

0xff487570e46bf171bb7cdf4425fe46d678f8c957

Realised P&L
$-16.56
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$11.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.570$5.38+$1.13
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2640.206$1.56$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:58Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
07-23 20:38Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2609998497$1.00
07-23 11:24Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2679998242$1.00
07-20 20:09Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.35$3.50
05-09 18:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.999$9.99
05-03 20:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?BUY0.9989998012$5.00
04-28 13:23Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.9629999994$5.00
04-27 12:21Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.4499999629$4.25
04-27 12:05Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
03-28 18:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 29?BUY0.9969999998$5.49
03-28 18:27Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28?BUY0.859999984$5.37
03-28 18:25Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 28?BUY0.9$5.58
03-28 18:25Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28?BUY0.85$5.58
03-28 18:02Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 28?BUY0.9889999998$5.48
03-28 17:56Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 28?BUY0.9909999$5.67