pelicanroyal
0xff45e3a741d57bfd17c7ebaf0e3215dcf720b0f3
- Realised P&L
- $-51.94
- Volume
- $962.00
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $58.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.01at 0.287Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$-7.87at 0.076Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 07:25 | Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.2895221891 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 14:12 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.449999991 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 14:12 | Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.18874172 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 08:46 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.98 |
| 07-19 09:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 15:07 | Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2812584735 | $15.00 |
| 06-15 19:24 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1689999915 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 10:34 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.22 |
| 05-14 09:48 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4449999858 | $15.00 |
| 05-14 09:43 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999952 | $15.00 |
| 05-14 09:40 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.3807329568 | $40.00 |