PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TimProgon

0xff458d45ee7ca945e656885f5d0381bae274e69d

Realised P&L
$4.80
Volume
$700.56
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$8.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5200.510$1.73−$0.03
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-02? · No0.6000.595$1.37−$0.01
Spread: Warriors (-2.5) · Warriors0.5100.475$1.29−$0.09
Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5 · Over0.4700.460$1.04−$0.02
1H Spread: Commanders (-3.5) · Commanders0.5000.485$1.03−$0.03
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4600.445$1.03−$0.03
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-11-01? · No0.4600.235$0.57−$0.55
Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5 · Over0.5000.009$0.03−$1.63
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? · No0.4100.002$0.01−$2.19
Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-11-01? · No0.4700.001$0.00−$1.96
Spread: AD Cali (-1.5) · Boyacá Chicó FC0.4600.001$0.00−$1.12
Club Guabirá vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4500.001$0.00−$1.06
SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4700.000$0.00−$1.09
Spread: Ohio State (-6.5) · Ohio State0.5100.000$0.00−$1.84
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-26? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:491H Spread: Commanders (-3.5)BUY0.5$1.06
11-01 23:09Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5199999055$1.76
11-01 22:07Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.6$1.38
11-01 21:25Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4699999736$1.96
11-01 20:23Wild vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5BUY0.4199999208$1.06
11-01 20:03Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5BUY0.4599999653$1.06
11-01 19:22Club Guabirá vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5BUY0.4499999151$1.06
11-01 18:41Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5BUY0.4699998226$1.06
11-01 18:20Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4599999653$1.06
11-01 18:00Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4599999261$1.12
11-01 16:37SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5BUY0.4699999871$1.09
11-01 16:17Spread: Rams (-4.5)BUY0.4299999794$1.46
11-01 15:36FK Austria Wien vs. SK Rapid: O/U 2.5BUY0.4499999579$1.07
11-01 13:53Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.4499999151$1.06
11-01 12:51Spread: Young Boys Bern (-1.5)BUY0.5899998275$1.06