PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Garner1

0xff3c82525741420e07a3b7261d8433239b25f63f

Realised P&L
$-872.60
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$7.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9480.951$4.18+$0.01
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.155$3.10−$5.10
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) · Shanghai Shenhua FC0.9300.000$0.00−$425.01
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5) · Adelaide United FC0.9520.000$0.00−$495.04
Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5) · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC0.0180.000$0.00−$16.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 05:44Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9479999909$4.17
08-27 06:40Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?BUY0.9$405.00
08-27 05:49Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$408.90
08-24 07:29Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?BUY0.94$423.00
08-23 01:58Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.93$423.15
07-15 03:03Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.905$420.82
07-15 01:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.939$424.43
07-14 07:47Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.953$424.08
07-14 02:03Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.91$423.15
07-05 05:28Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?BUY0.95$389.50
07-05 01:46Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.92$391.00
06-23 06:46Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?BUY0.933$373.20
06-23 01:59Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?BUY0.93$367.35
06-17 05:48Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?BUY0.95$280.25
05-16 06:29Spread: IK Start (-1.5)BUY0.985$477.72