0xfF380dbf41513e0563838400d5891A6d1Fc880CD-1780399904416
0xff380dbf41513e0563838400d5891a6d1fc880cd
- Realised P&L
- $-24.84
- Volume
- $924.39
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $37.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.62at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 4?
- +$9.28at 0.420Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5?
- +$0.91at 0.554Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 12?
- +$0.80at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18?
- +$0.17at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 5? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 5? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-04 06:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 4? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.57 |
| 09-04 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 5? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.85 |
| 08-28 08:37 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.024 | $4.80 |
| 08-11 15:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 06-15 14:19 | Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June? | SELL | 0.63 | $4.56 |
| 06-14 21:49 | Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |