Sdelmasc
0xff3094422b9897389b3fb0870e2d11b9e4dce315
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $161.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $275.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.068 | $275.89 | −$334.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$594.16at 0.110Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$212.33at 0.229Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$140.00at 0.100Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$129.67at 0.310Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$8.71at 0.060Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 15:08 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.22 | $13.22 |
| 08-11 15:07 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 08-11 14:51 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.70 |
| 08-11 14:45 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $7.00 |
| 08-09 19:43 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.76 | $55.48 |
| 04-20 16:45 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.34 | $342.54 |
| 04-17 05:54 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 04-15 07:12 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.07 | $159.04 |
| 04-14 05:42 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.26 | $190.37 |
| 04-14 02:06 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.117 | $246.68 |
| 04-13 23:42 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.116 | $39.32 |
| 04-13 17:48 | Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0050747375 | $4.07 |
| 04-13 03:40 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0668424412 | $81.61 |
| 04-13 03:39 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0671446672 | $81.61 |
| 04-13 03:25 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.05997957 | $72.90 |