syytjw
0xff2a439d0f2590bf6bc40ea98814264cebaa5900
- Realised P&L
- $135.41
- Volume
- $636.7k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $28.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $16.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $9.19 | +$1.84 |
| Will Sergio De Larrea win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $2.86 | +$0.95 |
| Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.67 |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.45 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.24 |
| Will Khaman Maluach win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will Jase Richardson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.25at 0.095Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
- +$19.06at 0.003Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$8.48at 0.002Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$8.44at 0.001Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$5.40at 0.002Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 20:17 | Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.25 |
| 08-17 20:15 | Will Donald Trump issue 5–7 executive orders in July? | BUY | 0.9989999019 | $5.46 |
| 08-17 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or below on August 18? | SELL | 0.996 | $10.72 |
| 08-17 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or below on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.52 |
| 05-07 17:41 | Will Adriatik Lapaj be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.60 |
| 05-07 17:40 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025? | BUY | 0.9919998743 | $5.43 |
| 05-07 17:39 | Will the Conservative Party win between 32% and 35% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election? | BUY | 0.9989999405 | $9.43 |
| 04-14 14:01 | Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%? | BUY | 0.998999934 | $10.31 |
| 04-14 13:57 | Will Daniel Noboa win by 4-6%? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.13 |
| 01-24 18:41 | Will Torino win the Serie A? | SELL | 0.997 | $17.45 |
| 01-24 18:41 | Will Torino win the Serie A? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.46 |
| 01-10 08:29 | Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election? | BUY | 0.997 | $17.46 |
| 01-05 16:46 | Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.955 | $17.46 |
| 12-28 11:29 | Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.46 |
| 12-25 07:57 | Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.989 | $17.47 |