PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hoffmans

0xff2a0c0d895d99a12eed9888827ad43d8410bc19

Realised P&L
$-62.17
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$20.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire · Phoenix Mercury0.5000.575$15.46+$2.02
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.9100.890$1.93$0.04
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream · Connecticut Sun0.1000.085$1.59$0.29
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? · Yes0.4600.275$1.14$0.77
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.80
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$1.96
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$2.70
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$3.94
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.96
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.87
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$2.56
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.97
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.97
Will XRP reach $1.60 on September 1? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$1.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:35Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta DreamBUY0.1002035037$1.88
09-16 11:13Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland FireBUY0.5$1.92
09-16 10:09Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland FireBUY0.5$1.92
09-16 10:00Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland FireBUY0.5$1.92
09-16 09:58Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland FireBUY0.5$1.92
09-16 09:54Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland FireBUY0.5$1.92
09-16 09:51Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland FireBUY0.5$1.92
09-16 09:51Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland FireBUY0.5$1.92
09-16 07:22Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?BUY0.9099996489$1.97
09-15 07:06Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?SELL0.767$1.60
09-15 07:06BNB Up or Down - September 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSELL0.09$1.07
09-15 07:06BNB Up or Down - September 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY0.16$1.90
09-15 06:53Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.9409999899$1.96
09-15 06:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.5099998899$1.90
09-14 05:19Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?BUY0.4599999904$1.91