0xff0b33462d55d01dec3fbcabcd57dadd4463befa
0xff0b33462d55d01dec3fbcabcd57dadd4463befa
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $580.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,006
- Open portfolio
- $244.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,006
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.246 | $244.11 | −$29.97 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B · FUT Esports | 0.578 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$217.57 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek · Laura Samson | 0.524 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.00 |
| Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$759.51 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$713.54at 0.411Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals
- +$522.60at 0.622Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$440.46at 0.570Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$376.05at 0.778Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
- +$201.24at 0.550Towson Tigers vs. Stony Brook Seawolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 04:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2576852888 | $102.35 |
| 10-30 04:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2541384921 | $80.00 |
| 10-30 04:21 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7902135752 | $198.61 |
| 10-29 08:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3272175973 | $91.73 |
| 10-29 08:49 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1989337153 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 15:05 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.5884071803 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 15:03 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 14:27 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.5699999935 | $17.57 |
| 08-26 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999945 | $33.00 |
| 08-26 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 08-26 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $30.00 |
| 08-26 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.46 |
| 08-26 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999809 | $12.00 |
| 08-26 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $20.22 |
| 08-26 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999748 | $8.00 |