PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ori2005

0xff08446647cbbd78b2e78163cde0fd0d0f38ea31

Realised P&L
$-141.66
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
416
Open portfolio
$15.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded416
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alexandre Pantoja0.4600.455$6.92$0.08
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Mauricio Ruffy0.2700.265$4.91$0.09
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0170.038$2.29+$1.29
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.033$1.73$0.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$2.00
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alex Perez0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.5550.000$0.00$8.00
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) · Edson Barboza0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSELL0.9$7.34
09-17 08:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.4899999584$4.00
09-16 22:32Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0166163024$1.00
09-16 22:31Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0376288567$2.00
09-16 22:30UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.459999979$7.00
09-16 22:24UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-16 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSELL0.08$0.89
09-16 22:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.449999964$5.00
09-16 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL0.27$2.18
09-16 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-16 22:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSELL0.68$6.08
09-16 22:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.5588234933$5.00
09-16 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSELL0.75$5.95
09-16 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.629999995$5.00
09-16 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSELL0.2$1.95