Hibukimuki
0xff07e697be3b0399b0319524757adac8a533bc57
- Realised P&L
- $-261.54
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.75 | −$14.25 |
| Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.001 | $0.56 | −$29.44 |
| Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$6.23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.63at 0.240Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-26.73at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
- +$-261.19at 0.013Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 19:38 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0042760005 | $37.44 |
| 10-29 17:12 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0130371225 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 15:19 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0128884231 | $14.00 |
| 10-29 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 09:32 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0059992187 | $39.93 |
| 10-28 15:32 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0120197338 | $80.00 |
| 10-28 15:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.43 | $80.63 |
| 10-28 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0440448569 | $11.39 |
| 10-28 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $3.22 |
| 10-28 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $10.75 |
| 10-28 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 15:26 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.004 | $9.43 |
| 10-27 18:07 | Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0445025907 | $6.30 |
| 10-27 18:07 | Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.00 |