ctesupremo
0xff02e5cc4652039a2ac0432575503a84404af143
- Realised P&L
- $510.87
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $410.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No | 0.830 | 0.875 | $210.00 | +$10.80 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No | 0.498 | 0.595 | $200.61 | +$32.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.15at 0.837US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$161.49at 0.803US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$24.75at 0.860US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$23.93at 0.912US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$11.55at 0.890US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:07 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $199.20 |
| 10-01 15:48 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.5599999964 | $37.00 |
| 09-30 04:30 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.4799999986 | $109.00 |
| 08-26 15:36 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $53.46 |
| 08-26 15:35 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-26 15:33 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.8096551724 | $234.80 |
| 08-25 14:02 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 08-24 18:11 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $102.00 |
| 08-24 17:50 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $62.03 |
| 08-24 17:48 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $319.20 |
| 08-24 14:28 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $302.40 |
| 08-23 06:18 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $221.61 |
| 08-19 16:56 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $97.90 |
| 08-19 04:42 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.79 | $118.50 |
| 08-17 03:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $47.30 |