dbrown-133
0xff005a389a68d3177ec64de7512b7c94794aa076
- Realised P&L
- $-8.59
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $24.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini? · No | 0.750 | 0.680 | $13.93 | −$1.43 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 2? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.490 | $10.76 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.43at 0.730Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
- +$2.88at 0.500South Florida vs. San José State
- +$2.29at 0.646Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
- +$1.82at 0.660Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$0.24at 0.995Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $12.14 |
| 01-30 16:38 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999578 | $12.46 |
| 01-30 14:22 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.68 |
| 01-30 13:16 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.26 |
| 12-30 10:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.68 |
| 12-29 21:34 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.22 |
| 12-29 21:32 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.01 |
| 12-29 20:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999838 | $41.29 |
| 10-30 23:46 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.99 |
| 10-30 18:13 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.21 |
| 10-08 05:24 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $13.37 |
| 09-29 10:56 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.8819999967 | $14.38 |
| 09-29 00:57 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.69 |
| 09-29 00:50 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.10 |
| 09-28 22:18 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.13 |