Luci11
0xff004da9ae079d63c2fddd5d5798a2a7d10c374d
- Realised P&L
- $-476.57
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $78.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.003 | $78.60 | −$298.67 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down | 0.302 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.19 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up | 0.248 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Anna Kalinskaya be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs · San Diego Padres | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Down | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.40at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$24.36at 0.628Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$14.30at 0.434Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
- +$13.50at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$12.90at 0.726Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 04:08 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0119999997 | $36.46 |
| 06-30 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999757 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $13.57 |
| 06-30 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999925 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $79.56 |
| 06-30 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999751 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 03:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 03:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999941 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | SELL | 0.7632461197 | $17.21 |