ciserman
0xfef50dd1fe98b2d9173ff225e4eb60056d380caf
- Realised P&L
- $-702.46
- Volume
- $117.9k
- Markets traded
- 534
- Open portfolio
- $31.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded534
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.89at 0.749XRP Up or Down - January 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$84.45at 0.798Solana Up or Down - January 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$68.93at 0.919XRP Up or Down - January 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$68.56at 0.926XRP Up or Down - January 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$64.31at 0.011Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 5 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:20 | Exact Score: AS Roma 4 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 09:19 | Exact Score: AS Roma 4 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 09:19 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 09:18 | Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 09:18 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 15:45 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 15:44 | Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:44 | Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 4 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:44 | Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 5 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.65 |
| 10-18 03:44 | Will Molde FK win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 12:53 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 12:53 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 12:52 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 12:52 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 12:52 | Will Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |