PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ciserman

0xfef50dd1fe98b2d9173ff225e4eb60056d380caf

Realised P&L
$-702.46
Volume
$117.9k
Markets traded
534
Open portfolio
$31.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded534
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.8700.865$9.94−$0.06
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) · 76ers0.5000.495$9.90−$0.10
Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs0.5300.515$9.72−$0.28
Exact Score: AS Roma 4 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava? · Yes0.1000.100$1.00+$0.00
Exact Score: AS Roma 4 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava? · Yes0.0070.004$0.50−$0.50
Exact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 0 - 0 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 3 Hull City AFC? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) · Cleveland Guardians0.6500.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$5.00
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics · Boston Red Sox0.5700.000$0.00−$5.00
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 · Over0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky0.4900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 09:20Exact Score: AS Roma 4 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?BUY0.007$1.00
10-20 09:19Exact Score: AS Roma 4 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?BUY0.1$1.00
10-20 09:19Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
10-20 09:18Spread: Knicks (-4.5)BUY0.5$10.00
10-20 09:18Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.5299999868$10.00
10-18 15:45Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
10-18 15:44Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?BUY0.0359999997$1.00
10-18 15:44Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 4 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?BUY0.016$1.00
10-18 15:44Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 5 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?BUY0.01$0.65
10-18 03:44Will Molde FK win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.75$10.00
10-17 12:53Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
10-17 12:53Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.2099999983$10.00
10-17 12:52Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
10-17 12:52Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
10-17 12:52Will Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?BUY0.2399999923$5.00