PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ilir99

0xfef194da5f7a34e0ef672966d72d2f610c83b2ea

Realised P&L
$-56.33
Volume
$868.40
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$115.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? · Yes0.6140.910$74.12+$24.12
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? · Yes0.7540.612$40.55−$9.45
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? · Yes0.6600.008$0.61−$49.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 08:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 29?BUY0.4454969101$25.00
10-29 06:52Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 29?BUY0.6187624721$25.00
10-29 06:51Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29?BUY0.5599999919$25.00
10-29 06:50Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?BUY0.4499999964$25.00
10-29 06:46Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?BUY0.7545452449$50.00
10-28 20:50Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?BUY0.6138613854$50.00
10-28 20:48Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?BUY0.6599999979$50.00
10-28 05:32Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 28?BUY0.4699999696$4.17
10-28 05:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?BUY0.4264462641$6.00
10-28 05:27Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 28?BUY0.539999964$6.00
10-28 05:22Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?BUY0.1399999995$6.00
10-28 05:22Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?BUY0.1399999989$5.00
10-28 05:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?BUY0.4099999816$6.00
10-27 19:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?BUY0.3399999883$7.00
10-27 19:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?BUY0.689999994$8.00