ChickenBanana-746
0xfef0b0fc5ee728cd710e7b4677fd3d8493f7d090
- Realised P&L
- $-23.7k
- Volume
- $152.2k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.995 | $3.5k | +$194.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$804.48at 0.949Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$462.39at 0.940Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?
- +$101.50at 0.966Will Solana dip to $100 in June?
- +$94.50at 0.967Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?
- +$78.99at 0.651Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 04:05 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.3k |
| 08-15 00:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $995.00 |
| 08-06 08:05 | Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? | BUY | 0.997 | $110.07 |
| 08-06 07:49 | Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 08-05 08:42 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 07-29 15:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.5k |
| 07-28 02:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.1k |
| 07-27 02:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 07-24 01:40 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 21? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.3k |
| 07-24 01:40 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 23? | BUY | 0.989 | $394.61 |
| 07-24 01:40 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 21? | BUY | 0.992 | $17.96 |
| 07-24 01:39 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.57 |
| 07-21 15:37 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.8k |
| 07-17 06:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $116.76 |
| 07-13 12:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $116.64 |