sksks
0xfee85e605af235b4e75cc40787a2623577c64bd3
- Realised P&L
- $-13.3k
- Volume
- $465.7k
- Markets traded
- 829
- Open portfolio
- $522.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded829
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.565 | $119.78 | +$1.06 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.725 | $108.75 | −$15.75 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.230 | $107.15 | −$43.74 |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September? · Yes | 0.838 | 0.550 | $92.81 | −$48.64 |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September? · Yes | 0.649 | 0.665 | $45.88 | +$1.13 |
| Will Twice release a song in 2026? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.462 | $29.30 | −$8.00 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.017 | $9.85 | −$65.47 |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.075 | $9.40 | −$45.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.750Dogecoin Up or Down - April 8, 3PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.156North Korea missile launch by November 15?
- +$1.3kat 0.745Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 15?
- +$1.3kat 0.257Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.749Fight to Go the Distance?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:09 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September? | BUY | 0.83 | $66.15 |
| 09-17 17:08 | Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September? | BUY | 0.6486956522 | $44.76 |
| 09-14 16:42 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $104.16 |
| 09-14 16:40 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $104.07 |
| 09-13 22:08 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $14.56 |
| 09-13 22:08 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-13 22:07 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-13 22:07 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September? | BUY | 0.8456137002 | $75.30 |
| 09-13 22:07 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 09-13 21:47 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1828010336 | $212.23 |
| 09-07 14:44 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $183.40 |
| 09-01 14:47 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.82 |
| 09-01 14:47 | Will Twice release a song in 2026? | BUY | 0.5881329024 | $37.31 |
| 09-01 14:40 | Will Trump say "Dell" in September? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.09 |
| 09-01 14:37 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $570.00 |