RiftSeer
0xfedecd3d5816a21b477c6d0eb71eaaf4f22c436d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $82.8k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $71.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.80at 0.840Kings vs. Lakers
- +$197.80at 0.540Pistons vs. Lakers
- +$66.00at 0.670Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$65.70at 0.701Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$36.00at 0.820US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:17 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 08-30 04:11 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $14.87 |
| 08-20 11:12 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31? | BUY | 0.6066666667 | $27.30 |
| 08-10 01:36 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-02 10:06 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $58.38 |
| 07-31 08:54 | Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 07-31 08:54 | Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire | BUY | 0.27 | $97.20 |
| 07-19 06:29 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 06-29 05:23 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.278 | $13.90 |
| 06-29 05:05 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 06-20 15:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | SELL | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 06-14 10:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 05-31 02:09 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 05-31 02:08 | Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election? | BUY | 0.965 | $9.65 |
| 05-31 02:08 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |