c0O0OLI0O03
0xfedc381bf3fb5d20433bb4a0216b15dbbc5c6398
- Realised P&L
- $63.2k
- Volume
- $363.18M
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $151.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $59.32 | −$59.32 |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $46.90 | −$46.90 |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $31.07 | −$31.07 |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $9.81 | −$9.81 |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $3.78 | −$3.78 |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.64 | −$0.64 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.22 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.002Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.5kat 0.002Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.9kat 0.002Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$5.4kat 0.003Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$5.1kat 0.011Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:58 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $211.41 |
| 09-21 19:23 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $680.76 |
| 09-16 13:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $436.47 |
| 09-14 11:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $129.21 |
| 09-10 21:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $962.47 |
| 09-04 00:03 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $128.28 |
| 09-02 23:16 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $14.40 |
| 09-02 23:16 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0010251737 | $1.7k |
| 09-02 23:16 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0014296463 | $1.9k |
| 09-02 23:15 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $14.40 |
| 09-02 23:15 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0016616749 | $298.77 |
| 09-02 23:15 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0010306465 | $1.2k |
| 09-02 23:15 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0028879111 | $104.05 |
| 09-02 23:14 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0011240376 | $907.33 |
| 09-02 23:14 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $51.80 |