c0O0OLI0O03
0xfedc381bf3fb5d20433bb4a0216b15dbbc5c6398
- Realised P&L
- $68.3k
- Volume
- $362.95M
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.002Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.5kat 0.002Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.9kat 0.002Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$5.4kat 0.006Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$5.4kat 0.003Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $436.47 |
| 09-14 11:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $129.21 |
| 09-10 21:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $962.47 |
| 09-04 00:03 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $128.28 |
| 09-02 23:16 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $14.40 |
| 09-02 23:16 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0010251737 | $1.7k |
| 09-02 23:16 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0014296463 | $1.9k |
| 09-02 23:15 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $14.40 |
| 09-02 23:15 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0016616749 | $298.77 |
| 09-02 23:15 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0010306465 | $1.2k |
| 09-02 23:15 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0028879111 | $104.05 |
| 09-02 23:14 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0011240376 | $907.33 |
| 09-02 23:14 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $51.80 |
| 09-02 23:13 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $32.59 |
| 09-02 23:13 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $60.62 |