0xfed1d058de6f62a039c98df3dfed0aaa1a6bb496
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $8.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3? · Up | 0.330 | 0.315 | $8.49 | −$0.40 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.015 | $0.33 | −$1.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.47at 0.500Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?
- +$33.46at 0.049Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?
- +$7.53at 0.487Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?
- +$2.57at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?
- +$-0.48at 0.085Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3? | BUY | 0.3299999993 | $8.89 |
| 11-02 18:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0701180104 | $1.59 |
| 11-02 17:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.76 |
| 11-02 16:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.1199999982 | $5.29 |
| 11-02 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | SELL | 0.077 | $0.92 |
| 11-02 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | SELL | 0.74 | $8.67 |
| 11-02 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.489999988 | $5.74 |
| 10-31 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BUY | 0.3599999628 | $1.55 |
| 10-31 01:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | SELL | 0.068 | $1.52 |
| 10-31 01:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.0053333333 | $0.16 |
| 10-30 23:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.0797767857 | $1.79 |
| 10-30 20:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 10-29 21:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29? | SELL | 0.0178269231 | $0.79 |
| 10-29 04:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.84 |
| 10-29 01:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28? | SELL | 0.7264367315 | $36.63 |