PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfed1d058de6f62a039c98df3dfed0aaa1a6bb496

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$8.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3? · Up0.3300.315$8.49−$0.40
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2? · Yes0.0700.015$0.33−$1.26
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 19:37Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?BUY0.3299999993$8.89
11-02 18:13Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?BUY0.0701180104$1.59
11-02 17:35Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?SELL0.04$1.76
11-02 16:13Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?BUY0.1199999982$5.29
11-02 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?SELL0.077$0.92
11-02 13:26Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?SELL0.74$8.67
11-02 00:29Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?BUY0.489999988$5.74
10-31 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?BUY0.3599999628$1.55
10-31 01:30Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?SELL0.068$1.52
10-31 01:28Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?SELL0.0053333333$0.16
10-30 23:45Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.0797767857$1.79
10-30 20:28Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?BUY0.21$6.30
10-29 21:07Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?SELL0.0178269231$0.79
10-29 04:47Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?BUY0.2$8.84
10-29 01:58Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?SELL0.7264367315$36.63