PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xfecA7df4ddA4074F97823bC329c0ae3437B4e625-1774352865416

0xfeca7df4dda4074f97823bc329c0ae3437b4e625

Realised P&L
$-417.57
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$152.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3700.155$62.84$87.16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5800.695$58.57+$9.69
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$17.19$32.81
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1390.027$10.99$45.78
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes0.0730.025$3.36$6.64
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$15.00
Kash Patel out by June 30? · Yes0.7160.000$0.00$150.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.6700.000$0.00$94.05
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$57.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 18:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.6699999992$94.05
05-14 14:34Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?BUY0.02$15.00
05-14 14:34Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.024$15.00
05-11 15:10Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.040288911$57.03
05-01 13:00Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.7983367983$48.00
05-01 12:58Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY0.0798987327$50.00
05-01 12:31U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?SELL0.8852897587$93.19
04-29 06:55Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?SELL0.11$7.67
04-28 13:35Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5799999955$48.88
04-28 13:34Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?BUY0.7171314723$50.00
04-28 13:23Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?BUY0.4730331519$26.29
04-28 13:16Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?SELL0.9544329461$126.54
04-21 14:32Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999998$107.39
04-21 13:58Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?BUY0.05$10.00
04-21 13:57Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?BUY0.12$30.00