0xfec876dc7be0f3be1f4119f8655501e8be28caee
0xfec876dc7be0f3be1f4119f8655501e8be28caee
- Realised P&L
- $-15.11
- Volume
- $75.00
- Markets traded
- 274
- Open portfolio
- $430.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded274
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.12at 0.995Spread: Delaware State (-1.5)
- +$0.10at 0.996Will Vance peak at Category 2?
- +$0.08at 0.997Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?
- +$0.08at 0.997Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 70?
- +$0.08at 0.997Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:01 | WTT Champions: Na-Yeong Kim vs Bernadette Szocs | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:55 | WTT Champions: Camille Lutz vs Yingsha Sun | BUY | 0.999 | $7.94 |
| 11-02 00:54 | WTT Champions: Yu-Bin Shin vs I-Ching Cheng | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:43 | Noah Gray: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:42 | Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:31 | Spread: Patriots (-2.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 11-02 00:31 | Spread: Patriots (-17.5) | BUY | 0.9989999611 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:24 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:24 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.56 |
| 11-02 00:16 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:16 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Brose Bamberg vs. Science City Jena: O/U 166.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 11-02 00:10 | Ironi Kiryat ATA vs. Bnei Herzliya Basket: O/U 176.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:10 | Ironi Kiryat ATA vs. Bnei Herzliya Basket | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 00:10 | Spread: Bnei Herzliya Basket (-2.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |